What causes inflation?
The 2021–23 inflation is where these answers were tested in real time. See the Debates tab.
- Mainstream
Monetarism
Too much money chasing too few goods. Control the growth of money.
- Mainstream
New Keynesian economics
Demand running ahead of capacity, plus expectations. The central bank anchors expectations by raising real interest rates.
- Mainstream
Keynesian economics
Demand-pull when the economy overheats, and cost-push from wages and energy prices.
- Heterodox
Post-Keynesian economics
Mostly cost-push and conflict over income shares. ECB staff found rising profits accounted for about two-thirds of euro-area domestic inflation in 2022, with wages catching up later.
- Heterodox
Modern Monetary Theory
Spending beyond what the economy can physically produce. Manage it with taxes and targeted policies rather than interest rates.
- Heterodox
Austrian school
Central banks expanding credit. Inflation is a hidden tax that distorts the signals prices send.
- Mainstream
Ordoliberalism
A failure of monetary discipline. An independent central bank with a strict price-stability mandate is the fix.