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Should governments borrow more in a recession?

For a euro-area country this is partly a legal question too: EU fiscal rules set limits on deficits and debt.

  • Mainstream

    Keynesian economics

    Yes. When resources are idle the multiplier is above one, so borrowing to spend supports output.

  • Mainstream

    New classical and real business cycles

    It may do little: households expect future taxes and save the tax cut (Ricardian equivalence, Barro 1974). Evidence suggests the full version doesn't hold.

  • Mainstream

    New Keynesian economics

    Monetary policy first; fiscal policy matters most when interest rates are stuck near zero. IMF work in 2013 found forecasters had underestimated multipliers during austerity.

  • Mainstream

    Ordoliberalism

    Only within agreed rules. Credible fiscal rules protect trust in the currency.

  • Heterodox

    Austrian school

    No. Deficits prolong the misallocation and crowd out private investment.

  • Heterodox

    Post-Keynesian economics

    Yes. Government deficits are the mirror image of private-sector saving (Wynne Godley's sectoral balances).

  • Heterodox

    Modern Monetary Theory

    Yes, and deficits are normal for a currency issuer. The limit is inflation, not debt.

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