What caused the 2008 financial crisis?
When the Queen visited the LSE in November 2008 she asked why nobody had noticed it coming. Each school has its own answer to that too.
- Mainstream
New Keynesian economics
Models missed it. The post-crisis view: leverage, a housing bubble and runs on lightly regulated “shadow banks”.
- Heterodox
Post-Keynesian economics
Minsky's cycle: stability bred riskier finance until the system collapsed.
- Heterodox
Austrian school
Interest rates held too low after 2001 fuelled a housing boom built on bad investments.
- Bridge
Behavioural economics
Overconfidence and herding; people extrapolated rising house prices. Robert Shiller warned of a housing bubble in 2005.
- Mainstream
Neoclassical economics
Efficient-markets view: prices reflect available information, so bubbles are very hard to identify in advance.
- Bridge
Institutional economics
Broken incentives and weak regulation: lenders sold on mortgages they made, and ratings agencies were paid by the issuers they rated.
- Heterodox
Marxian economics
Over-accumulation and financialisation, with stagnant wages pushing households into debt.